Red Alert

Posts Tagged ‘GST’

Cost of living goes through the roof

Posted by Raymond Huo on July 27th, 2010

LabourSurvey pic 27July10

I thought I would share this response to some questions we have asked in the community with Red Alert readers.

The loose translation of the Chinese text is:

Dear MP Huo, Thank you for your Labour Party who always speaks on behalf of ordinary kiwis, particularly at a time when the cost of living is increasing dramatically, well done, we support you. (name and address withheld)

This constituent echoes the thoughts and feelings of many families across the country.

It is concerning for everyone in the community that prices are rising faster than wages, and with an increase in GST coming into effect shortly, this situation is only going to get worse.

With inflation expected to hit 5.9 percent next year, it seems there is no let up for hard working kiwis either.

Any tax cuts should make it easier for more kiwis to get ahead. However, National’s tax plan gives most of the tax cuts to the privileged few. But, 70 percent of salary and wage-earners are on $40k or less, with 800,000 kiwi families with a combined household income of $60k or less.

Under National, transport prices rose 3.1 percent with higher prices for International air transport and vehicle licensing fees.

Cost of food is increasing with a recent OECD study finding that New Zealand food prices over the last 10 years rose higher than almost any other of the 30 OECD countries studies, at 42% compared to the OECD average of 33%.

Under National’s ETS, families pay twice – once as consumers and once as tax-payers ($110 billion over the next 2-3 decades) while polluters get an easy ride.

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Filed under: asian, ets

Discontent among the black tie set (and the taxi driver)

Posted by Clare Curran on July 18th, 2010

Went to a black tie event last night in Dunedin. Not normally my thing. But the cause was important. What was interesting was the consistent number of similar conversations I had about the government. Horror and discontent would be the major theme. No plan for our economy, lack of investment in local industry. Gutting of tertiary education.

I did not feel defensive once.

People could not understand why the government is so high in the polls.

I found it interesting because these are the people I would expect to be John Key cheerleaders. But was obvious they felt there was nothing to cheer about. Or that they felt led.

And then there was my taxi driver. Had never met him before. Couldn’t shut him up. He has done all the calculations on the effect of a GST rise. Him and his missus absolutely depend on Working for Families. They are terrified it will go. Two young kids.


Budget 2010: UK Tory Style

Posted by David Cunliffe on June 23rd, 2010

It’s official and  it’s a shocker. Cameron’s first Budget puts VAT up to 20%. It cuts company tax cut from 28 % to 24%. Govt dept spending is cut by a staggering 25%. Capital gains tax is up from 18% to 28%.

A budget suplus in 3 years? – dreaming.  The social dislocation will be too awful to describe.

This is an uber-Tory Budget that relies on neoliberal economic ideology.

Given that Brown had already cut spending by GBP 72bn and this cuts another GBP 40bn it contains real risks of stagflation/deflation. If that spreads through a Europe bound together by linked currencies, it could  contribute to a double- dip recession that mayaffect us.

And of course we are now more vulnerable after Mssrs Key anad English borrowed more for unaffordable tax cuts.

For now, here is David Milliband’s reaction:

The Tory-Lib Dem Budget is a hammer blow to families and business across the country – and to the future of the British economy. George Osborne’s measures are driven by ideology not economic reality. And the price will be paid in higher unemployment and lower living standards for the poorest and those on middle incomes.

When they asked for your vote at the last election, David Cameron and Nick Clegg said they would reduce the deficit without hitting the frontline or hurting the poorest – but they have already broken that promise.

Below I set out what I would do differently – read on and then sign up to my Broken Promises campaign – help me show David Cameron and Nick Clegg that we will expose and oppose their Broken Promises every step of the way.

  1. I would make reducing unemployment a top priority. We must oppose the Tories’ decision to scrap Labour’s job guarantee, which provided work to the long term unemployed. The Tories are making the same mistake they made in the 1980s, of letting unemployment devastate lives and communities.
  2. I would not increase VAT, which is a regressive tax that hits the poorest hardest. Don’t take my word for it, David Cameron said it. And the Lib Dems promised to fight against a VAT rise until they decided to support it.
  3. We should be supporting the industries that will drive jobs and prosperity in the future – like Sheffield Forgemasters who have been robbed of a loan that offered world-beating jobs for Britain.
  4. The Tories’ four pounds of spending cuts for every one pound of tax rises is extreme. Even Mrs Thatcher went for a pound of spending cuts for a pound of tax rises. I would strike a fairer balance between reductions in spending and tax rises to reduce the deficit. If we need more tax let’s look at measures like a Mansion Tax on £2m homes not VAT rises.”

Sound familiar?


BUDGET 2010: English – A Fudge Too Far

Posted by David Cunliffe on June 1st, 2010

Good fun in the House today grilling Bill English here and here on why the Government’s online tax/benefit calulator leaves out the forecast inflation rate of 5.9% in 2010, and thus overstates benefits.  Its a blatant case of misleading the public.   The Speaker rules it is a straight question that deserves a fair answer: Bill English doesn’t get it, and digs a hole deeper than the original mistake…

…It would be funny except it has misled many average income Kiwis who were encouraged by the Govt to believe that the budget left them “better off”, when in reality it left them behind until at least 2014.   It will be no fun at the checkout queue for many hard working families.


BUDGET 2010: Jigsaw Pieces Click

Posted by David Cunliffe on June 1st, 2010

The jigsaw pireces of the Budget are starting to click in the public mind if recent polls are any indication.  In the last week :

  • The IMF described NZ’s savings gap and net international indebtedness as “among the largest of any advanced nation”
  • Analysis shows a $9.2bn additional fiscal hole in the Budget by 2023 arising from the tax changes
  • Budget documents show expenditure as a % of GDP falling from 33% to 28%
  • Bill English floats Kiwibank sale as one example of a number of SOEs ripe for partial privatisation.

In other words: give away taxes up front (very largely to their mates); run an out year deficit (deliberately); compress spending (as ‘prudence ” then demands); and flog off what is left of the family silver to fill the remaining gap (dressed up as mum and dad savings products, of course).

What does all this mean for the average Kiwi?

  • despite the govt spin, they are worse off for the next four years at least due to the toxic cocktail of GST, inflation, other govt charges and taxes, and slow wage growth;
  • public services like Heatlh and Early Childhood Education will be slashed as new spending lags inflation ($300m short in Health) or deliberate policy changes bite;
  • the outlook for public services gets dramatically worse as the National Party tries to resize the state to 28% of GDP – although they won’t want to talk much about that before the election;
  • the underlying economic problems reamin unresolved and get more intractable over time.   There is no credible plan for growth and jobs.

Moral of story: do NOT let National get a second term   Stop the malign juggernaut before it does irrepairable damage.


Another Budget Video

Posted by Chris Hipkins on May 25th, 2010

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Filed under: Budget, GST, Tax

Labour’s Budget video

Posted by Chris Hipkins on May 21st, 2010


Bollard in 1992 on the impact of GST increases on the economy

Posted by Stuart Nash on May 19th, 2010

Reserve Bank Governor, Alan Bollard, wrote a paper in 1992 titled “New Zealand’s Experience with Consumption Tax”.  It dealt with the implementation of GST in NZ.   He wrote “in 1989 when GST was increased to 12.5% the effect on retail sales and subsequently on growth was marked; after experiencing signs of a pick-up the economy dropped back to recession the following year”. 

When asked about history repeating itself in the FEC select committee today, Dr Bollard said that the impact of the proposed GST increase on the economy would depend on the total tax package balance.  Interesting.  Remember when GST was increased by 2.5% in 1989, kiwis at the top end had just received massive personal tax cuts in 1988: the top rate dropped from 48% to 33%. 

I hope for NZs sake, history does not repeat itself with this current budget, because it all looks awfully familiar.


PM – “Don’t be jealous – rich are crucial to economy”

Posted by Stuart Nash on May 18th, 2010

Who is as insulted as I am over PM Key’s statement, reported in today’s Dom Post, around why the highest earners will get the tax cuts in this week’s budget, at the expense of the 92% who earn under $70k/ann (http://tinyurl.com/23natqb)? “We can be envious about these things, but without those people in our economy all the rest of us will either have less people paying tax or fundamentally less services they provide”

Well, my daughter is taught by a teacher earning under $70k, most of the police who put their lives on the line for us earn under $70k, nurses who fix us up when we fall over earn under $70k, and the vast majority of people who actually make this country tick – the backbone of the nation – earn under $70k.  Are these people any less deserving?  Do they not ensure that the wheels of industry are well oiled, the streets are safe and our citizens are provided with the services required of a first world country?  Of course they do.!

How bloody insulting.!  As I blogged earlier this year, there are a myriad of reasons people live and work in New Zealand – and tax is way down this list.  These changes will, if anything, drive middle NZ across to Australia and further afield.  Mr Key – just be honest with Kiwis and stop feeding us your propaganda: these tax cuts are not about creating equality of opportunity, driving higher productivity, developing a fairer tax system or building more equitable society – because they will not achieve any of these goals.  If you believe they will, then I suggest you start studying your economic and financial text books and reading your case studies –  those published this century – not last.!

Don’t get me wrong, I am not saying that our high achievers are not deserving – they are – but so is everyone else.  The increase in tax through the GST hike to 15% is broad and all-encompassing – so should the tax cuts be.!


Paul Henry – put your money where your mouth is.

Posted by Stuart Nash on May 14th, 2010

Here’s a challenge to TVNZ’s Paul Henry – lets see if you can live on the Auckland median wage for a month, and then lets see if you change your mind about Labour’s idea of removing GST from fresh fruit and vegetables. 

Why the challenge..?

Watched Paul Henry interview Phil Goff on Thursday morning, and one of the issues that came up was Labour’s idea around removing GST from fresh fruit and vegetables.  Phil reiterated that this was not Labour party policy, but an idea that the caucus was considering in light of the increase in GST to 15%. 

Paul banged on all morning about what a silly idea this was.   I suppose when you are one of TVNZ’s highest paid presenters (I don’t know exactly how much he earns, but if you look at TVNZ’s annual report its not that hard to figure out…), then a simple 2.5% increase in GST will be much more than off-set by the massive personal tax cut you are going to receive. 

Personally, I think Paul has lost touch with reality.  Two points Mr Henry: 1) there are many kiwi families who are really struggling to make ends meet, and a 2.5% increase in GST on fresh fruit and veges will be a killer.  An Auckland University study has shown that if you drop the price of fresh fruit and vegetables, people will buy more; and 2) in this day and age of obesity-related diseases, anything that can be done to increase the consumption of fresh fruit and vegetables must be good.

As mentioned, this is not Labour party policy, but it is something that we re looking at and will make a call once we have all the information and evidence.

So come on Paul Henry – lets see how you survive on the Auckland median wage for a month – and then lets see if you change your mind about doing something to drop the price of fresh fruit and vegetables.!


OCR remains at 2.5% – now economy v english

Posted by Stuart Nash on March 11th, 2010

The Reseve Bank has held the OCR unchanged at 2.5%.  In the quarterly Monetary Policy Statement that accompanies each OCR announcement (see URL below), Governor Bollard has said (amongst many things): inflation predictions are around 2%, (however, there has been no modelling done for the proposed increase in GST and the cut in the top marginal tax rates for the 8% of Kiwis earning over $70K); GDP growth expected to be around 1% per quarter, or 4% per ann; and employment expected to drop by around one percentage point a year.  This begs a couple of questions / points:

1. if economy is expected to grow at 4% per year, then surely Minister English can now afford to give state sector employees a decent pay increase this year – remember he said last year possible wage freezes for up to 5 years.

2. if inflation is expected to be around 2% per year (without having yet modelled the impact of GST increases or tax cuts for the top 8%) then this implies a further reduction in the purchasing power for those 70% of extra-ordinary hard working kiwis earning $40k or less. 

3. Surely, with inflation forecast at 2%, and GDP growth forecast at 4% per year, the minimum wage has to increase more than the paltry 25c / hr given by the government last year.  Mr English? Mr Key?

Come on now Mr English and Mr Key – you have signalled what you are going to do for the 8% of kiwis earning over $70k/ann – now tell us what you are going to do for the other 92% – apart from increasing costs through increasing GST…

http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monpol/statements/


Go the Coasters

Posted by Chris Hipkins on March 10th, 2010

hilton

Joined the big red ‘Axe the Tax’ bus in Westport yesterday morning. Headed down the cost via Reefton, Blackball and Greymouth before heading over to Christchurch. We were very warmly received all the way down the coast. Nobody wants to see GST increased.

Spoke to quite a few retailers who are concerned an increase in GST will act like a ‘double whammy’ by forcing them to up their prices while also reducing the amount of ‘discretionary’ spending money people have left over after they’ve paid for the essentials.

Funny moment at the Bearded Mining Company in Reefton where they handed us a hunk of lead that had been spray-painted gold – they call it National Party gold. Lots of disappointment with the Nats; Auchinvole will be a one-term MP.


“Axe the Tax” bus hits the Mainland

Posted by Chris Hipkins on March 8th, 2010

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Yesterday the big red Axe the Tax bus was in Wellington. I joined the crew in Timberlea, Upper Hutt where we handed out red balloons to the kids and were warmly received by the parents too. Later in the afternoon the bus was parked outside parliament where quite a few people stopped to chat on their way to the Phoenix game.

This week the bus hit’s the mainland. I’ll be on board from Tuesday to Thursday. The Axe the Tax campaign is online too, here’s a quick summary of where to find everything:


Labour ideas spark interest on major Chinese website

Posted by Raymond Huo on March 5th, 2010

An article by Stuart Nash has gained some attention on the popular Chinese-language business website Luuloo.com.

Following my columns on NZ-based Chinese-language websites I have now gained a platform for my articles to be published on Shanghai-based Luuloo.com.

Luuloo.com features major business stories and market developments from around the world (including updates from the NZX) and it seems as though Stuart Nash’s thoughts on National’s tax reforms have caught the eye of many in the Asian business world.

Keep an eye on the site to see more articles from Labour MPs in the future.

Click here to read Stuart Nash’s article.

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Filed under: asian, ethnic

Tax tour update – are you listening, Mr Key?

Posted by Stuart Nash on March 1st, 2010

As we travel around the country explaining Labour’s opposition to the govt’s proposed increase in GST, I am pleasantly surprised by the overwhelmingly positive response we are receiving.  People understand the issue: they know that increasing GST means an increase in the price in everything.  This leads to less money in their pocket, budgets that are stretched even further and a growing disparity between the few earning the big bucks and everyone else.

A lot also know that when the Mr Key was campaigning in 2008, he said that there would be not be an increase in GST.  They are pretty annoyed about this reversal.!  Most don’t believe that they will be adequately compensated and think that this is a government looking after the few and ignoring the needs of the many.  Can’t help but agree.!

I actually believe that we have a real chance of forcing a National back down on a GST increase.  Why?  Because we are listening to ordinary kiwis who are telling us how it is – and they do not want any increase in GST.  Can you hear them, Mr Key.?


AXING THE TAX PACK

Posted by David Cunliffe on March 1st, 2010

Labour is taking the fight to the government on its unfair tax plan.  The “Axe the Tax” bus tour is covering the country.

We are campaigning against is whole tax package, which includes all of:

  • GST going up from 12.5% to 15%, even though National said before the election they would NOT;
  • The unfairness of the massive cut to the top tax rate, dressed up as “alignment”, which delivers windfall gains to the top few percent.

The government’s GST tax switch is really just cover for the massive shift towards top end tax reduction.

Politics is, at least partly, about who gets what – and guess who stands to benefit most from National’s plans?

Not the vast bulk of Kiwis, who are on middle and lower incomes and who have toughed out the recession.

Labour will release its tax policy before the next election.  Labour’s tax plan will be fair to all Kiwis, not one aimed at delivering big cuts only to a few.


“Axe the Tax” bus hits the road

Posted by Stuart Nash on February 28th, 2010

Labour’s initiative to travel the country by bus to inform ordinary New Zealanders about the destructive impact of an increase in GST is now underway.  Led by leader Phil Goff and finance spokesperson David Cunliffe, Labour’s MPs believe strongly that any increase in GST must be fought, as it is simply not fair.

As we know, National plans to increase GST by 20% (from 12.5% to 15%) in order to fund tax cuts to the top 10% of wage and salary earners.  We think this proposed increase is wrong for a number of reasons, but primarily because it simply isn’t fair to the vast majority of hard working kiwis: to those 800,000 families struggling on a household income of $60k or less, or the 75% of New Zealanders earning below the average wage.

No one voted for this tax increase, and the Prime Minister actually said that he wouldn’t increase GST.  Increasing taxes for those most vulnerable in our society will only widen social and economic dislocation rather than increasing demand and stimulating the economy into recovery.

A recent Economist article noted that countries need to be careful that they don’t increase tax and loosen monetary policy too quickly (as in 1939 and in Japan in 1997) as this could force the global economy back into recession.  There is simply no economic logic to this tax policy.

So, if you see the bus on the road, toot in support.

The Axe the Tax bus hits the road

The Axe the Tax bus hits the road

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Filed under: GST, Tax

Video: John Key on GST

Posted by Chris Hipkins on February 24th, 2010


Household income makes tax cuts fair..? Ahh no.

Posted by Stuart Nash on February 16th, 2010

Yesterday David Farrar put up an interesting post at Kiwiblog titled ‘all theory no reality’ ‘(http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2010/02/all_theory_no_reality.html).  He critiqued a post by No Right Turn on income distribution on the basis that it “gives us a great example of the difference between an academic theoretical analysis, and understanding the real word.”

David wrote: “You see in New Zealand, we have these things called families and households. What No Right Turn sees as a mass of poor people who will be unaffected by tax cuts, are spouses, older children, many students and even parents of those who do earn more than $23,000 a year, or even $48,000 a year.” 

“If a family has one parent earning $60,000 a year, and one on $15,000 part-time, they both benefit from a change to the 33% tax rate. Because they are a family!! …. So ignore the stupid stats and graphs about individual incomes. They are relevant to academic theory, rather than the real world. Household Family income is what affects most people. Now as of June 2009, the median household income was around $64,000. 30% of households have income over $93,000.” 

The medium household income is actually closer to $60k David.  This means that over 800,000 kiwi families are living on a combined household income of $60k or less; out of which has to come food, rent/mortgage, clothing, school uniform and books, telephone, petrol, rates, repairs, doctors etc etc (which will all increase due to GST rising). 

The tax cuts floated by the National govt with give PM Key an extra $500/wk in-the-hand and the CEO of Telecom an extra $2,500/wk in the hand.!!!  I suspect those families surviving on $60k household income will see the inequity and unfairness of the proposed tax cuts, even if Mr Farrar can’t. 

Household income deciles Number of households Percentage on or below this income
1 – 10K 20,300

1.26%

10 – 20K 149,200

10.53%

20 – 30K 188,400

22.24%

30 – 40K 163,500

32.40%

40 – 50K 146,500

41.51%

50 – 60K 138,900

50.14%

60 – 70K 111,300

57.06%

70 – 80K 104,200

63.53%

80 – 90K 93,900

69.37%

90 – 100K 72,100

73.85%

100 – 110K 61,300

77.66%

110 – 120K 60,900

81.44%

Total Number of Households 1,609,100  

I also love this line from David in the same blog: “..But if you are retired and earning just $25,000 a year, that doesn’t mean you are against tax cuts, because you are happy that your adult children will benefit from them.”  Of course, that’s right David – mum and dad can shiver through winter (powerbills have GST, and we know how high they go), but if the kids are lucky enough to be one of the 9% in the top tax bracket, then all will be fine because they can now afford that winter holiday in Fiji…!  What about the parents whose children are one of the 800,000+ kiwi families struggling on $60k household income.?  Suspect they also will see the gross inequity and unfairness in the govt’s proposed tax changes…

So perhaps Mr Farrar should take his own advice.  Stop worrying about the theory, and focus on the real world.


GST poll in herald – disingenuous

Posted by Stuart Nash on February 13th, 2010

If anyone had any doubts about the NZ Herald’s political stance over Key’s GST proposals, they certainly won’t anymore.  Front page of the NZ Herald this morning had a headline “Poll shows solid backing for GST rise if income tax cut”.  We then read on to find out that the so called “poll” was actually an email sent to the 6,432 Herald readers on the Herald’s reader panel.  Of these only 1,407 replied. 

Now I hardly think this “poll” is scientific, objective and representative of the views of all NZers.!  Far from it.   Wouldn’t mind knowing the full demographic of this reader panel – but I can guess…  What the Herald only mentioned at the end of the article is that a greater percentage of readers thought that the tax package was unfair (45%) than it was fair (43%).!!! Also only 22% thought that the tax proposals would promote economic growth versus 51% saying it wouldn’t.  Wonder why the Herald didn’t lead with these results..?? 

Come on the Herald, you can do better than this, and your readers expect more.!!!

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Filed under: GST, Tax