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Archive for the ‘Tax’ Category

Exploding tax myths – Part 6

Posted by Stuart Nash on March 16th, 2010

Myth: Countries are cutting their corporate tax rates.  NZ also needs to in order to remain competitive.  

On 27th January, in the first of the Tax Myth-busting posts, I exposed the myth that NZ’s company tax rate is relatively high.  Now its time to discount the myth that we need to drop our rate, in line with the global trend.  

In 2007, the same year that Labour cut NZ’s corporate tax rate, so did Denmark, Germany, Iceland, Italy, Spain and the UK.  Since 2007, Hungary and Mexico have increased their corporate tax rate (both by one percentage point). 

In the OECD, only Germany (8.5 percentage points), Italy (5.85 percentage points), and Czech Republic (5 percentage points) have cut their corporate rate by a greater number of percentage points than NZ. 

Remember, NZ doesn’t have a capital gains tax, payroll tax, a financial transaction tax, stamp duty…

Cutting corporate tax is not a current global trend and I haven’t seen a paper yet that can mount a strong, rational argument for doing so: and certainly not from this government.!

Filed under: Tax

A big group that will be worse off following the tax cuts

Posted by Trevor Mallard on March 11th, 2010

397,000 kiwi families currently live in homes rented from private landlords.

There are 189,100  individual landlords who own rental properties. Obviously most own one but some own  many properties but it averages out to about two.

The total projected revenue from eliminating the depreciation write off is $1.3b.  That involves housing rentals, industrial and commercial. Depreciation on housing is pretty much a fiction. It is real  on most industrial and some but not all commercial buildings.

The average is  $3,274 per rental property. 

There is currently a tight housing rental market in New Zealand and especially in Auckland. The tightening up of the tax approach around property owners liability for tax on capital gains is already pushing some landlords out of the market and causing rents to go up. Both TV channels have reported on this recently.

Landlords are making it clear that it is their intention to recover their extra costs (write off forgone). Of course they won’t be able to do it overnight – but they will over time.

My calculation is that the average residential rental property will inolve a loss of about $45 to the landlord v current depreciation arrangements.

(Average house price 416k but I’ve used median 360k. 2% depreciation = $7,200. 33c tax rate = $2,400 say $45 per week)

Can John Key guarantee that all families that rent their houses and get this increase as well as that in their GST will not be worse off.

And what does Bill English say. His rent was paid by the taxpayer for years because  he declared Dipton as his primary residence when he lived in Wellington.

But most of all who thinks it is fair that rents go up to give tax cuts of hundreds of dollars a week to the highest income earners in the country.

Not me.

Update  Comments below have suggested that my estimate is high because I haven’t taken out land prices. Other emails have suggested that there are higher depreciation rates and that because a proportion of rented premises are apartments land is not quite the issue some suggest. I’m happy to use the property investors $34/week figure for the purpose of the discussion. The post goes to the principle.


OCR remains at 2.5% – now economy v english

Posted by Stuart Nash on March 11th, 2010

The Reseve Bank has held the OCR unchanged at 2.5%.  In the quarterly Monetary Policy Statement that accompanies each OCR announcement (see URL below), Governor Bollard has said (amongst many things): inflation predictions are around 2%, (however, there has been no modelling done for the proposed increase in GST and the cut in the top marginal tax rates for the 8% of Kiwis earning over $70K); GDP growth expected to be around 1% per quarter, or 4% per ann; and employment expected to drop by around one percentage point a year.  This begs a couple of questions / points:

1. if economy is expected to grow at 4% per year, then surely Minister English can now afford to give state sector employees a decent pay increase this year – remember he said last year possible wage freezes for up to 5 years.

2. if inflation is expected to be around 2% per year (without having yet modelled the impact of GST increases or tax cuts for the top 8%) then this implies a further reduction in the purchasing power for those 70% of extra-ordinary hard working kiwis earning $40k or less. 

3. Surely, with inflation forecast at 2%, and GDP growth forecast at 4% per year, the minimum wage has to increase more than the paltry 25c / hr given by the government last year.  Mr English? Mr Key?

Come on now Mr English and Mr Key – you have signalled what you are going to do for the 8% of kiwis earning over $70k/ann – now tell us what you are going to do for the other 92% – apart from increasing costs through increasing GST…

http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monpol/statements/


Go the Coasters

Posted by Chris Hipkins on March 10th, 2010

hilton

Joined the big red ‘Axe the Tax’ bus in Westport yesterday morning. Headed down the cost via Reefton, Blackball and Greymouth before heading over to Christchurch. We were very warmly received all the way down the coast. Nobody wants to see GST increased.

Spoke to quite a few retailers who are concerned an increase in GST will act like a ‘double whammy’ by forcing them to up their prices while also reducing the amount of ‘discretionary’ spending money people have left over after they’ve paid for the essentials.

Funny moment at the Bearded Mining Company in Reefton where they handed us a hunk of lead that had been spray-painted gold – they call it National Party gold. Lots of disappointment with the Nats; Auchinvole will be a one-term MP.


Axing the Tax Pack – Top of the South

Posted by David Cunliffe on March 9th, 2010

Today Maryan Street, Damien O’Connor, Darien Fenton and our team took the big red Axe the Tax bus through Nelson, Motueka and Westport. 

In Nelson we held two open air public meetings, both well attended, and canvassed retail businesses around the town center.  Good moments included large numbers of shoppers stopping to listen to us by the Cathedral steps, and the very positive reaction we received from many small businesses- who HATE the idea that it will be up to them to make the higher GST work, and that they carry the risk and hassle. 

Off to “Mot” via Mapua and strong positive reactions at both.  Shopkeepers coming out of their shops to call us in and tell us why they opposed the tax.  We doorknocked the entire main street at Motueka and it would have been impossible to miss us.  Lunch meeting with community groups at the community center.  Grey Power got it that the amount being speant on high income tax cuts is roughly the same as what National has gutted out of NZ Super prefunding.

Longish drive to Westport with lots of road works made us a bit late.  Funniest moment was National MP Chris Auchinvole flagging us down on the road near a country pub where he announced he had just held a “hotel meeting”.  OK fair enough, Chris.

Westport Working Men’s Club turned on a good crowd and some fine speeches from colleagues, with plenty of questions following.  A local beer went down well after.

Tomorrow we blitz Westport mainstreet and cover Reeefton, Greymouth and Hoki before the trans-alpine trip adn Christchurch via Rangiora.   Wednesday the bus tours Christchurch, but I fly to Invercargill to speak on the tax issues to public meetings and local businesses in Southland. 

Great to be meeting a wide range of Kiwis in their own home towns and hearing directly from them of their concerns.  And in case any trolls are going to run the “taxpayer funded” line – this is absolutley a proper thing for MPs to be doing.


“Axe the Tax” bus hits the Mainland

Posted by Chris Hipkins on March 8th, 2010

4393243989_54852612b8

Yesterday the big red Axe the Tax bus was in Wellington. I joined the crew in Timberlea, Upper Hutt where we handed out red balloons to the kids and were warmly received by the parents too. Later in the afternoon the bus was parked outside parliament where quite a few people stopped to chat on their way to the Phoenix game.

This week the bus hit’s the mainland. I’ll be on board from Tuesday to Thursday. The Axe the Tax campaign is online too, here’s a quick summary of where to find everything:


Henry review on Australian tax system.

Posted by Stuart Nash on March 7th, 2010

The Nats had the Tax Working Group and Australia had the Henry Tax Review.  Dr Henry is the Australian Federal Treasury boss. 

For some reason, Prime Minister Key and Finance Minister English have always operated under the assumption that the Henry review would recomend to the Rudd government that taxes should be cut - esp the company rate.   Key and English’s own tax working group also seemed to be operating under such an assumption. 

Dr Henry presented his report to Federal Treasurer Swan in December, and while the report has not been made public, Dr Henry said in a recent speech that the consequences of the aging population means that Australian’s will need to pay MORE taxes.  Mr Rudd has said that he is putting the Henry tax review on hold as he concentrates on major health reforms. 

Mr Key and Mr English seem to be stuck in a late 20th century economic timewarp when the rest of the world is concentrating on how to stimulate the economy by providing relief for those who actually need it – those 70% of salary and wage earners on $40k or less – those 800,000 New Zealand families with a combined household income of $60k or less.  How about doing something for these Kiwis Mr Key.!   Take a leaf from Mr Rudd’s book and put these tax increases for the many so as to cut taxes for the few on hold – then seek a mandate from the people in 2011 for such radical and unfair changes.  Go on.


Improved Crown Accounts won’t justify savage Budget

Posted by David Cunliffe on March 5th, 2010

The latest Crown Accounts show that recovery is underway. Bill English should be frank with Kiwis that the books are improving, and ensure that he does not talk down recovery as cover for a tough Budget.

The government’s books are significantly improving and now the presure is on Bill English to ensure all Kiwis benefit from the recovery.

Kiwis who have battled through the recession need a credible long term for them to feel like they’re not struggling to pay the bills at the end of the week.

What they don’t need is for prices of groceries, power and services to rise to pay for John Key’s GST money-go-round.

A recurring theme in the Crown Accounts seems to be the investments in the New Zealand Super Fund and ACC both tracked above forecast, and NZSF is now worth $2.5b more than when the government decided to suspend contributions for a decade.

Does anyone now think National’s “decade of deferrals” of payments to the SuperFund at the last Budget was a clever idea

With these improved forecasts, Labour challenges John Key and Bill English to resume payments into the SuperFund.

Gross debt was $2.9 billion lower than forecast, and continues Labour’s legacy of low debt, with gross Crown debt the third lowest in the OECD.

Crucially the operating deficit was $1.4b lower than forecast, now only $630 million. While still significant, this closes the operating gap by about 70% and shows drastic reductions in services are not justified in the 2010 Budget.

New Zealanders have gone without during the recession. The improvement in the Crown accounts should provide comfort that there are better times ahead.

It is essential that all Kiwis share in the recovery and that the government not talk the recovery down as pretext for a tax-cut driven Budget in 2010.


Tax and the Budget Policy Statement

Posted by David Cunliffe on March 4th, 2010

Parliament’s Finance and Expenditure Select Committee has just released its report on the half-yearly Budget Policy Statement.  This  politely worded document contains some useful nuggets of information that arose from Bill English’s testimony to the committee, and summarises FEC members’ views of what they heard.  Some of it was reported at the time, but it is worth reiterating in the context of the broader tax reform debate.

  1. English reiterated that the tax pacakge will be fiscally neutral.
  2. Raising GST to 15% is the government’s intention.
  3. This was not presented as a “revenue raiser on its own” but was needed to help pay for cuts to tax rates.
  4. The main rate change would be at the top end, with likely alignment with the Trust rate at 33%.
  5. Although there was talk that middle and lower income earners would be “no worse off”, committee members pointed out the huge inequity of top rate reductions for the few, versus standstill at best for the many.  There is no disguising the relative shift of the tax burden.

FEC members pushed on how the government would achieve fiscal neutrality given its stated intentions to compensate for GST – the numbers did not appear to add up.    Mr English first disputed the Tax Working Group’s estimates (funny how when he agrees he quotes them) that show full compensation costs almost all the extra revenue increased GST raises; then said rate cuts woul be largely funded from taxes on property.

Having excluded a comprehensive CGT, Land Tax and RFRM, the amount able to be raised from changing building depreciation rules is insufficient (only $0.3 to $1 bn compared to a revenue requirement of $1.2-$1.5bn ).  So if the government cuts the top rate as much as they’d like, it doesn’t leave a lot left over for the great majority of taxpayers.

Mr English then wriggled around on what a partial CGT might look like – discussing a bright line test to change the “intent” rules around property speculation.  English has also proposed “ring fencing”, a measure that he has ridiculed in the past as a ‘disastrous’ proposal.(http://www.hansard.parliament.govt.nz/Documents/20070621.htm )

It is very debateable whether that would fix the tax inequity between investment classes.  It is even more dubious to suggest that the additional property taxes would all be borne by top tax rate individuals – what about retirees and middle income earners with one or two investment proprties who may need to sell up? It looks like the intervention into the property market will really be a revenue gathering exercise to pay for tax cuts to the top rate, rather than a principled approach to addressing distortions as English claims.

And nowhere in the MOF’s presentation was there any talk about closing down the other tax planning rorts.  Funny that.

More broadly, the government cannot escape the contradiction that:

  1. It says it has enough revenue to deliver big top rate tax reductions for the few (but not the many).
  2. But it will drastically reduce new spending to $1.1 bn in Budget 2010 and onwards - inevitably resulting in real front line service cuts to Health and Education.
  3. There was no discussion of restoring superannuation pre-funding, Kiwisaver incentives,  restoring contributions to the SuperFund, or R and D tax credits, even though Treasury has previously advised all are prudent and necessary.

My impression of Bill English’s presentation was that no matter how it is dressed up, the government’s intentions are stark and predictable: raise taxes for the many and cut them for the few, and cut services for the many to pay for it.


Tax tour update – are you listening, Mr Key?

Posted by Stuart Nash on March 1st, 2010

As we travel around the country explaining Labour’s opposition to the govt’s proposed increase in GST, I am pleasantly surprised by the overwhelmingly positive response we are receiving.  People understand the issue: they know that increasing GST means an increase in the price in everything.  This leads to less money in their pocket, budgets that are stretched even further and a growing disparity between the few earning the big bucks and everyone else.

A lot also know that when the Mr Key was campaigning in 2008, he said that there would be not be an increase in GST.  They are pretty annoyed about this reversal.!  Most don’t believe that they will be adequately compensated and think that this is a government looking after the few and ignoring the needs of the many.  Can’t help but agree.!

I actually believe that we have a real chance of forcing a National back down on a GST increase.  Why?  Because we are listening to ordinary kiwis who are telling us how it is – and they do not want any increase in GST.  Can you hear them, Mr Key.?


AXING THE TAX PACK

Posted by David Cunliffe on March 1st, 2010

Labour is taking the fight to the government on its unfair tax plan.  The “Axe the Tax” bus tour is covering the country.

We are campaigning against is whole tax package, which includes all of:

  • GST going up from 12.5% to 15%, even though National said before the election they would NOT;
  • The unfairness of the massive cut to the top tax rate, dressed up as “alignment”, which delivers windfall gains to the top few percent.

The government’s GST tax switch is really just cover for the massive shift towards top end tax reduction.

Politics is, at least partly, about who gets what – and guess who stands to benefit most from National’s plans?

Not the vast bulk of Kiwis, who are on middle and lower incomes and who have toughed out the recession.

Labour will release its tax policy before the next election.  Labour’s tax plan will be fair to all Kiwis, not one aimed at delivering big cuts only to a few.


“Axe the Tax” bus hits the road

Posted by Stuart Nash on February 28th, 2010

Labour’s initiative to travel the country by bus to inform ordinary New Zealanders about the destructive impact of an increase in GST is now underway.  Led by leader Phil Goff and finance spokesperson David Cunliffe, Labour’s MPs believe strongly that any increase in GST must be fought, as it is simply not fair.

As we know, National plans to increase GST by 20% (from 12.5% to 15%) in order to fund tax cuts to the top 10% of wage and salary earners.  We think this proposed increase is wrong for a number of reasons, but primarily because it simply isn’t fair to the vast majority of hard working kiwis: to those 800,000 families struggling on a household income of $60k or less, or the 75% of New Zealanders earning below the average wage.

No one voted for this tax increase, and the Prime Minister actually said that he wouldn’t increase GST.  Increasing taxes for those most vulnerable in our society will only widen social and economic dislocation rather than increasing demand and stimulating the economy into recovery.

A recent Economist article noted that countries need to be careful that they don’t increase tax and loosen monetary policy too quickly (as in 1939 and in Japan in 1997) as this could force the global economy back into recession.  There is simply no economic logic to this tax policy.

So, if you see the bus on the road, toot in support.

The Axe the Tax bus hits the road

The Axe the Tax bus hits the road

Tags: ,
Filed under: GST, Tax

Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics

Posted by David Cunliffe on February 25th, 2010

Bill English has been “trying it on” in his use of statistics, no doubt to try to get off the defensive around inequitable tax policy, his lack of a plan for growth and an embarrassingly strong performance by NZSF and ACC in the recent Crown Accounts.

Mr English alleged in a release last week that revisions to GDP data issued late last year showed the economy grew by “less than 1% a year”.

The Government Accounts  had been released the day before. Labour had attacked the government for having suspended superannuation prefunding and cutting ACC, when the investment performance of both had risen strongly.

Based on the Statistics NZ revised data, the average GDP growth for those three years was actually 1.74%.

The more relevant GDP growth benchmark, averaged over Labour’s last term in office, was 3.2% GDP growth per annum.

That was significantly higher than during National’s previous term in office of around 2.6%.

It was higher, year on year, for the three year period Mr English quoted, than the UK (2.6%), US (2.5%) or OECD average (2.3%)

This strong and sustained economic expansion was achieved alongside:

  • a massive reduction in Crown debt (net debt cut from 24.8%  of GDP to zero);
  • unemployment of 3.4%, the lowest in 21 years (less than half of today’s 7.3%)

This was achieved precisely because Labour did not follow Mr English’s advice in 2005 and 2006 to give early tax cuts. In short, not taking Bill English’s advice in 2005/06 meant NZ could afford a Budget in 2008 designed to support Kiwi jobs through the recession.

So if that was the real big picture, how did Mr English come up with his odd numbers?

  1. First, using highly variable quarterly GDP statistics, not the more aggregated and reliable annual numbers
  2. Second, choosing a short period impacted by the global recession to   bring the average down.
  3. Finally, by taking advantage of retrospective statistical revision  called chain linking whereby when recent data falls sharply (for example due to the recession) previous years are “smoothed” down to fit the trend.

The bottom line is National would give its right arm to have economic performance numbers today that matched the average under the last Labour government.

We have a Minister of Finance who has shown himself not above skewing data for political ends.

Lesson for Bill English: “when in a hole, stop digging”.


Video: John Key on GST

Posted by Chris Hipkins on February 24th, 2010


Tax expectations

Posted by Trevor Mallard on February 22nd, 2010

Small not too focused group, majority from the right,  but not involved in politics, tongues loosened had a discussion on their expectations of tax changes. I listened.

No real interest in threshold changes. Their consensus was while they wanted more, but thought English and Key didn’t have it in them, the budget in May will drop the top rate to 30c (from 38) the middle income rate to 25c (33) and the under $48k rate to 15c (21). A couple of people thought that Key would phase the top rate change in over two years to make him look less personally greedy. But that it would be announced this May.

Would make for some interesting modelling.


The people smile and wave is relying on

Posted by Trevor Mallard on February 22nd, 2010

The government has two very big issues running at the moment. GST (in the context of the budget) and National’s standards in primary education.

But the Ministers leading these areas are the two most damaged Ministers in the government.

Since his housing rorts have been exposed English has had very little credibility when is comes to fiscal prudence. His problem has been both actual and more importantly perception. Even natural allies are asking whether the change will come in the short term (Power) or later (Joyce).

And while those who work closely with her are mainly being polite the degree of exasperation with Anne Tolley is growing by the week. In this case it is pretty simply a Minister who can’t cope with the job. While that was most obvious in the tertiary area where she was removed following approaches to Key from within the sector it is increasingly clear that she can’t get her head around her own flagship standards policy. Tolley might have made a good junior Minister but she just doesn’t have the grunt to cope with the front bench and the education portfolio.

So should Labour be calling for their resignation. Probably not. Ministers who are seen to be performing poorly are like rust – it sometimes takes a long time to surface but eventually will wreck the whole machine.

I say leave them in place – for now.


Exploding tax myths – Part 5

Posted by Stuart Nash on February 18th, 2010

Myth: Alignment between corporate and personal tax rates is required for a coherent tax system

Reality: only two countries in the world (Mexico and Slovenia) have an aligned company and top marginal tax rate.

Rate alignment is the major recommendation of the Tax Working Group’s report.  They believe that this is vital in the battle against tax minimisation, and non-alignment is one of the reasons why the system is ‘broken’..  As an aside, an interesting fact is that a person has to be earning $130k/ann or more at the flat 30% company rate to be better off than paying tax using the graduated personal tax regime.

If there is one structure that needs a comprehensive review it is the Trust vehicle.  Unlike company profits for individuals, which are taxed at marginal rates, the Trust rate of 33% is the final rate.   Many people have companies owned by Trusts, which will allow for tax minimisation.

Back to aligning the top marginal and the company rate: this is highly unusual internationally.   In the OECD, only Mexico and the Slovak Republic have top marginal and company rate alignment  In fact, some countries have gaps far wider than New Zealand.  Australia, for example, if you include the 1.5% Medicare levy, has a top tax rate of 46.5%, making a gap between the two rates of 16.5%.  If Australia does decide to further reduce their corporate rate, this gap will widen further.  I suspect that rate alignment between the top marginal and the company rate isn’t essential to fix a “broken” system.

1

Ireland

28.5

2

Netherlands

26.5

3

Austria

25

4

Poland

21

5

Belgium

16.01

6

Hungary

16

7

Italy

15.5

8

Portugal

15.5

9

Australia

15

10

Greece

15

11

Turkey

15

12

Germany

14.82

13

United Kingdom

12

14

Korea

10.8

15

Luxembourg

9.41

16

New Zealand

8

17

Iceland

7.75

18

France

5.57

19

Finland

5.5

20

Denmark

1.48

21

Japan

0.46

22

Mexico

0

23

Slovak Republic

0

24

Sweden

-1.3

25

Canada

-2.32

26

Norway

-2.7

27

Spain

-2.87

28

United States

-4.1

29

Czech Republic

-5

30

Switzerland

-7.97


Credits for kids

Posted by Trevor Mallard on February 17th, 2010

Back in the late 1960s and early 1970s I used to sometimes do the wages for the family firm.

In those days there were tax table books to help calculate the deductions – pretty simple really.

People had either a S(ingle)  or a M(arried)  code. And then a number relating to the number of dependant children.  So if you were a two adult one income family with three kids your code was M3.

And you had less tax deducted than someone who was S or even M2.

Back in those days there was widespread acceptance of the principle that kids were good and the state had a role in making a contribution (through reduced taxation) to the extra costs involved. I think we have lost that to some extent since then. And that is not good.

In recent years an unnecessarily  complicated system has developed – probably because IRD were capable but reluctant and WINZ (read Rankin) were willing but not capable. So we got WFF. No problem with the results but too much form filling and expensive to run.  Yes partly my fault. 

The answer in my view is the bringing together of the IRD and WINZ computer systems. Helps stop cheats. Means people don’t get left with bills.

Much easier to do than a decade ago.

And for some  workers their tax will involve a credit or addition to their weekly pay to recognise the cost of their kids.

Whats wrong with that?


Household income makes tax cuts fair..? Ahh no.

Posted by Stuart Nash on February 16th, 2010

Yesterday David Farrar put up an interesting post at Kiwiblog titled ‘all theory no reality’ ‘(http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2010/02/all_theory_no_reality.html).  He critiqued a post by No Right Turn on income distribution on the basis that it “gives us a great example of the difference between an academic theoretical analysis, and understanding the real word.”

David wrote: “You see in New Zealand, we have these things called families and households. What No Right Turn sees as a mass of poor people who will be unaffected by tax cuts, are spouses, older children, many students and even parents of those who do earn more than $23,000 a year, or even $48,000 a year.” 

“If a family has one parent earning $60,000 a year, and one on $15,000 part-time, they both benefit from a change to the 33% tax rate. Because they are a family!! …. So ignore the stupid stats and graphs about individual incomes. They are relevant to academic theory, rather than the real world. Household Family income is what affects most people. Now as of June 2009, the median household income was around $64,000. 30% of households have income over $93,000.” 

The medium household income is actually closer to $60k David.  This means that over 800,000 kiwi families are living on a combined household income of $60k or less; out of which has to come food, rent/mortgage, clothing, school uniform and books, telephone, petrol, rates, repairs, doctors etc etc (which will all increase due to GST rising). 

The tax cuts floated by the National govt with give PM Key an extra $500/wk in-the-hand and the CEO of Telecom an extra $2,500/wk in the hand.!!!  I suspect those families surviving on $60k household income will see the inequity and unfairness of the proposed tax cuts, even if Mr Farrar can’t. 

Household income deciles Number of households Percentage on or below this income
1 – 10K 20,300

1.26%

10 – 20K 149,200

10.53%

20 – 30K 188,400

22.24%

30 – 40K 163,500

32.40%

40 – 50K 146,500

41.51%

50 – 60K 138,900

50.14%

60 – 70K 111,300

57.06%

70 – 80K 104,200

63.53%

80 – 90K 93,900

69.37%

90 – 100K 72,100

73.85%

100 – 110K 61,300

77.66%

110 – 120K 60,900

81.44%

Total Number of Households 1,609,100  

I also love this line from David in the same blog: “..But if you are retired and earning just $25,000 a year, that doesn’t mean you are against tax cuts, because you are happy that your adult children will benefit from them.”  Of course, that’s right David – mum and dad can shiver through winter (powerbills have GST, and we know how high they go), but if the kids are lucky enough to be one of the 9% in the top tax bracket, then all will be fine because they can now afford that winter holiday in Fiji…!  What about the parents whose children are one of the 800,000+ kiwi families struggling on $60k household income.?  Suspect they also will see the gross inequity and unfairness in the govt’s proposed tax changes…

So perhaps Mr Farrar should take his own advice.  Stop worrying about the theory, and focus on the real world.


The bullshit factor

Posted by Clare Curran on February 14th, 2010

Been meaning to write this post for days. Too busy doing stuff.

But I guess this is a good day to post, because it’s about relationships.

In the last 10 days or so John Key has made two big mistakes. You could describe them as PR stuff ups. But I think they’re much more serious because they cut to the heart of things. Relationships. John Key’s relationship with the New Zealand people.

MISTAKE #1. On National Standards. A litany of events, but in particular “that” press conference where both Key and Tolley said things are going fine with the roll out of National Standards. And they’re clearly not. And it’s plain to see.

What Key and Tolley have done is inserted themselves into the critical relationship that parents have with teachers. And they are trying to wreck it. When you hand your child over to a teacher, you place your trust in the teacher, and the school. A hugely important relationship. Key and Tolley are telling parents not to trust teachers. VERY big mistake.

MISTAKE #2.  On GST. There’s lots of mistakes been made here. The biggest one was John Key trying to pretend in parliament that he meant something different to what he actually said and qualify it. He said before the election that National wasn’t going to raise GST. Now he’s saying that what he really meant was only about covering  our deficit. It’s what’s called a tricky response.

Gee John. New Zealanders know bullshit when they see it. You might be pitching yourself as an ordinary bloke. And you might have been described as the hottest politican in a survey undertaken by a condom company.

But remember that the bullshitter is a well recognised colourful New Zealand character. He might be considered a likeable larrikin, who likes a beer and tells a good story. But he’s not someone you’d trust to get you out of a tight spot. Or to have your best interests at heart. Is that you John?