Red Alert

Archive for the ‘Tax’ Category

The Paper Boy/Girl Tax Grab

Posted by Grant Robertson on May 25th, 2012

A revealing level of blame shifting and spin in John Key’s response to the Paper Boy/Girl Tax Grab. Here’s what he said in the NZ Herald today

Mr Key – a paperboy in his youth – said he found out about the move at Cabinet on Monday and did not regret it despite the publicity.

He found out on Monday? After the Budget had gone to print? Definitely a game of blame Bill going on here. I imagine the conversation at Cabinet on Monday must have gone something like this, ” Ah, John, we’ve got this thing called the Budget on Thursday. Nothing much for you to worry about….”

But, wait, there’s more Mr Key goes on to say

A lot of people didn’t know they were entitled to them so they didn’t bother claiming. The amounts were fairly small and overall we have been trying to clean up the tax code

Yes, that’s right the amounts are “fairly small”, that is the point! It’s tax on children who earn less than $45 a week, of course the amounts are small. That’s why the credit is there, so they can get those very small amounts back.

And yes some people didn’t bother claiming, but obviously quite a few did given that the government gets $14 million out of this.

What a load of spin and nonsense for a piece of penny pinching from the pockets of paper boys and girls.

Filed under: Budget, Tax

100% tax cuts ahead

Posted by David Clark on May 7th, 2012

Today’s crash of Inland Revenue’s website highlights a wider IT vulnerability that must be addressed – urgently.

The IRDs current tax collection system was designed in the early nineties. It was effective for many years.  But it has become increasingly obvious that patches applied over recent years are a failing stopgap.  New Zealand needs real progress on a replacement system.

The Government has already written off millions of dollars after a failed attempt to rebuild the student loans component of the IRD online collection system.  Since then no progress, only bad news.  Earlier this year, it was revealed that the Government estimates a necessary IT rebuild of IRD’s whole tax collection structure will cost up to $1.5 billion dollars.

New Zealand is not unique in having a tax system.  Adapting successful systems used elsewhere is the logical approach to replacing our ailing IT infrastructure.  This problem has been on the horizon for some time.  It beggars belief that the Government has not yet outlined a convincing plan or timeline for the development of overdue IT solutions. 

Voluntary compliance with a transparent tax system is critical to the efficient and effective functioning of our society. 

Businesses rely upon our tax collection system working properly when they put their GST returns in.  They don’t have time to waste reentering data when systems go down.  We cannot afford to risk the patience of those citizens who wish to comply with their civic duty.

And testing the patience of businesses is not all that is at stake here. Our hospitals and schools rely upon a trustworthy tax-collection system.  The IRD must not be allowed to fail.

The Minister of Revenue has not put forward a credible timeline for the project, and it is becoming clear that the government is sitting on its hands whilst New Zealanders face the consequences of an IT time bomb.

Not good enough Minister.

Tags: , , , ,
Filed under: Tax

Deck chairs

Posted by David Clark on March 19th, 2012

The Inland Revenue Department’s tax policy work programme was released by Hon Peter Dunne on the weekend. 

Reading through the Minister’s related speech, I couldn’t help wondering about the symbolism of its delivery just one month short of the Titanic’s 100th anniversary.

According to its own publicity, the IRD tax policy work programme places emphasis on achieving efficiency and fairness in the system.  Worthy objectives indeed.  And much of the work in the programme is worthy – plugging holes, and trimming sails to align with competitors - where it is to our advantage so to do. 

But significant change appears to have been ruled out once more. A Capital Gains Tax that would push investment towards the productive sector, for example, will not be considered.  The current tax system watches on as the Government shuffles deck chairs and sails towards a $12 Billion deficit.  This is crazy.  If you don’t change anything, nothing will change.

Our current tax system is in need of a serious overhaul.  The tax policy work programme looks a bit like an exercise regime for a thoroughbred nearing a big race – light and steady.  This would be fine if we owned a thoroughbred.  We don’t.  The Minister is refusing to admit his existentially-challenged Clydesdale needs anything more than a good make-over and a stiff crack of his whip.

The fiscal hole is getting bigger and the Government has no credible plan to address it. In my earlier post, I asked how the Minister of Finance could continue to credibly claim tax changes implemented under his watch were ‘broadly revenue neutral’ – when the Government’s own officials say otherwise.  IRD officials have said that 2.5 percentage points of a 4% drop in revenue were due to Government policy changes. 

We need jobs and a plan to address the structural issues that underlie our current account deficit. Tinkering with finer points in the tax system and changing who owns what through asset sales doesn’t begin to address the serious issues facing our economy.  New Zealand debt is set to continue climbing under National.

On the matter of economic policy and tax settings: no amount of deck-chair shuffling will change things - if the ship remains set on the same course.


Dear Liza

Posted by David Clark on March 17th, 2012

The Government has continued to spout the line that its tax ’switch’ in 2010 was ‘broadly revenue neutral’.

This is an outrageous claim.  It was nowhere near revenue neutral.

According to the IRD’s 2011 Briefing to the Incoming Minister (BIM), Government tax-take dropped from 35.1% of GDP to 31% of GDP during National’s first term.  In a time of high borrowing, and a projected $12 Billion deficit, a drop in the tax base of more than 10% is plain irresponsible. Falling revenue means we don’t have the funds to support our schools and hospitals.  Either that, or we have to borrow to fund them.  This ain’t good.

The ‘broadly revenue neutral’ claim has been relegated to the status of a bad joke by the honesty of the Government’s own tax officials.  In their 2011 BIM, officials made clear that only about 1.5% could be blamed on the Global Financial Crisis.  About 2.5 percentage points of its 4% revenue drop can be directly explained by Government policy changes (ie the 2010 tax package).

To use the phrase ‘broadly revenue neutral’ in this context beggars belief.  It is an abuse of the English language.

How ‘broad’ can ‘broad’ get before it the Finance Minister will admit it is simply *not* revenue neutral?

Blaming the hole in the accounts on the Canterbury earthquakes or the Global Financial Crisis is no longer a credible excuse for the $12 billion deficit.

Though not widely reported, this drop in tax-take is big stuff.  It is likely to have wider consequences.  Sadly, it fits with the picture of a government bereft of a credible plan for managing our economy.


Then and now: Key on all sorts

Posted by Chris Hipkins on March 14th, 2012

Over the weekend I posted some of John Key’s earlier statements on asset sales and public sector restructuring, pointing out how much his current views and approach differ from what he promised people before he became Prime Minister.

Tonight TV3 have gone one better and unearthed video footage of him speaking to the PSA Conference back in September 2008. Not only does John Key rule out asset sales, he makes a compelling case against them.

“There’ll be no asset sales in the first term of a National government, and there may never be asset sales in the years ahead… Nor am I hell-bent on selling assets actually. I personally think it’s not the issue that the current economy faces. In the world of making the boat go faster, actually I don’t think selling off state assets is going to make the boat go faster.

Labour has been arguing all along that asset sales will not make us a richer country. We’ve been consistent. John Key and the National government have done a complete u-turn and have now placed asset sales at the centre of their economic strategy.

“The Crown’s dividend streams from the Meridians, the Mighty Rivers of the world is large, so on both motivations we don’t have a debt problem, they’re acting, I think, highly effectively as companies, and they’re making money. There is no motivation to sell assets.

Once again, Key is borrowing the line that Labour has been consistently arguing for over a decade. The SOEs are highly profitable. They make more money than we would save in debt repayment costs if we sold them. Also note Key arguing we don’t have a debt problem (Bill English also made similar comments both before and after the 08 election). Interesting how after 3 years of a National government debt seems to be the biggest issue we face…

“So there’s no agenda to sell assets.

This is perhaps the most damning quote. Although Key was careful before the 2008 election to qualify his no asset sales pledge with “during the first term” he gave New Zealanders the very clear impression that he wouldn’t be selling assets long-term either.

“What we are saying is we’re not going to cut jobs, we’re simply capping at 36,000.

That commitment didn’t even last a term. Now he’s promising even more job losses during National’s second term. Nothing about that in their manifesto for 2011.

“The second point is, no we’re not borrowing for tax cuts.

So if they’re not borrowing for tax cuts, and New Zealand didn’t have a debt problem when they took office, why are they now arguing we have a major debt problem and need to sell assets to fix it?

John Key has built his political career on telling people what they want to hear. Eventually that strategy always catches up with people, and it’s catching up with Key big-time.


GST off bananas (and other fresh fruit and vege)

Posted by Stuart Nash on November 1st, 2011

The Labour policy of removing GST off fresh fruit and veges is a very good example of evidence-based policy development.

The facts:
NZ is the third fattest country in the OECD (astounding). The productivity and health costs associated with this are huge – and growing.
Auckland University and Otago University medical schools undertook a joint research project into ways to influence consumer behaviour around the purchase healthy foods. Three groups were set up; 1) control group, 2) a group given very targeted information and education about the outcomes of healthy purchases, and 3) a group that were given information and a 12.5% price discount. The result: no change from control group (expected), no change from the group given a high level of education and information only (surprising), however, a 11% increase in the purchase of healthy food by those who received a 12.5% discount.

After consultation with a lead member of this research team, we decided that one of the best ways to influence buyer behaviour and promote healthy choices was provide a price incentive. This works. Six months after the study had finished and prices returned to normal for the third group, the researchers found the majority in this group were still making healthy purchase decisions.

So, education alone will not work in changing the eating habits / purchase decisions of the vast majority of NZers. A price incentive does. If anyone has a more effective way to directly target the obesity problem then I am very interested in hearing, because while it is a problem now, it is set to become an epidemic within a short space of time.

As an aside, we did briefly consider a ‘fat tax’ on unhealthy foods, however, ‘unhealthy’ is very difficult to define (under many definitions, milk and cheese are ‘unhealthy’) and so we decided that in this case, it is easier to remove a tax than add one.

Filed under: GST, Tax, health, policy

Doing Things Differently

Posted by Grant Robertson on October 12th, 2011

In the wake of the double downgrade, the debt blowout, and further afield the Occupy Wall Street movement, one thing keeps coming through for me. If we want to improve our lot economically, if we want to address the growing inequality in our society, we have to do things differently.

An interesting contribution to that debate in New Zealand is coming from Gareth Morgan and Susan Guthrie. Their latest piece appeared in the NZ Herald on-line today.

Morgan and Guthrie highlight the obsession with property speculation, the reliance on commodity prices to keep us afloat, a narrowly based economy and monetary policy and a tax system that fuels the worst of speculative behaviour. These are not new messages from Gareth, but there is more reasonance as we look at a global and national economy defiantly not recovering and staggering (or is that muddling) through the year. He puts it this way

There is a naive single dimension to our economic policy – we either raise or reduce the budget deficit or we raise or reduce interest rates. That’s the sum total of the intellectual capital being applied to managing our economy. That it could be so bereft for so long has led to the persistence of our “structural imbalance”. There is a chronic need for policy enlightenment and a sweeping aside of a simplistic policy orthodoxy that has been rigidly paid homage to for 30 years now.

Now, of course I don’t agree with all of their prescription, but the idea that we have to change the way we think about our economy is the core message, and it is one that Labour has heard and taken on board. We are offering a different way of doing things both from where the current government is, and where we have been.

Monetary Policy. Labour has already announced that we need to change monetary policy to address the structural issues in the economy, including the volatility of the dollar that makes life difficult for exporters and high interest rates that discourage investment in productive parts of the economy. While curbing inflation remains important, having that as the single focus is not working for us. Our policy is to broaden the objectives of the Reserve Bank beyond just controlling inflation to look other issues, such as employment and to support more aggressive interventions to deal with currency speculation.

Fairer Tax System. As noted we are going to introduce a Capital Gains Tax to ensure we tax income in all its forms and start to move toward investment in our productive economy. We also are going to return the top tax rate to 39c over $150,000, the first $5000 tax free and taking the GST of fresh fruit and vegetables

Procurement/Overseas Investment
. Labour is going to make important changes to focus to support our own economy. This means new rules on government procurement, that will be compliant with our international ageements, but will require a process that gives Kiwi firms a fair go and will look at a wider set of criteria for awarding contracts including the impact on the domestic economy. We want overseas investment but as announced in 2010 we will put stricter controls on purchases of farm land, monopoly infrastructure, so that we keep control of our assets (and of course there will be no asset sales!).

And there is more to come in terms of innovation and economic development, to build on the R and D Tax Credits, Youth Employment. And more to come in Savings, where we really can build a basis for creating the pool of resources to invest in our own companies, just as Kiwisaver funds have done with Scott Technology.

This post is too long already, so I will come back to some of the social policy issues Morgan and Guthrie raise, but for now I am confident that Labour has a different vision on offer this year. Some of it is policy we have done before, but a lot of it is thinking differently, because as they say a definition of madness is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result.


Why The Downgrades Matter

Posted by David Cunliffe on October 3rd, 2011

The public does not need to take our word for it that the current government’s economic policies are not working.  There is now even more objective evidence in the form of two important credit rating downgrades delivered on “Black Friday”.

I have written an op-ed for the Herald on why the “Ratings Ref” yellow carded NZ.  Standard and Poors and Fitch agree on what is fundamentally wrong.  They say:

  • First “very high external imbalances, accompanied by high household and agriculture sector debt” (S&P). These are mainly house and farm mortgages borrowed through the banks from foreign lenders to fuel our property obsession.
    • That’s not a new problem and it has levelled off a bit with the recession. But it is at historically high levels and makes New Zealand “an outlier among peers” according to Fitch.
  • Second, “dependence on commodity income” says S&P.  Despite record milk prices we are still not paying our way in the world.  The current account deficit is a long term issue. But it will worsen to 6.9% of GDP while the Net International Investment Deficit (NIID) will grow from 78% to 85% over the next five years.
  • Third “emerging fiscal pressures associated with (our) aging population” (S&P), including health and superannuation.  Suspending the NZ Super Fund pre funding hasn’t helped.

The reaction from Bill English on Q & A yesterday was uttlerly inadequate.  He maintains the government will keep on doing what it is doing.  As if that has done any good so far  – $37 billion extra debt, 47,000 more unemployed and 3.6% lower GDP now than when they were elected.

Here is the Government’s spin, and some perspective on it:

  • We have worked hard to control government spending and succeeded”.  The problem is that some $37 billion of debt has been added since the National Government took office – some $18 billion in this year alone.  While nobody blames any government for earthquakes – and the ratings agencies recognise that both sides of the political spectrum are exercising fiscal restraint, this is not enough to avoid a downgrade.   The agencies’ arenot swayed by the prospect of liquidating $5 billion of SOE assets.
  • We are better placed than some other countries”.   Being “better placed” than Iceland, Greece or Portugal is cold comfort.  Nor is it sufficient, in the face of paralysis in the US and chaos in Europe, to take refuge in Chinese and Australian expansion.  The risks of a slowdown in both economies are significant, and s the ratings agencies demand New Zealand  takes responsibility for its own future.
  • “We are still on track for surplus in 2014-15.  So she’ll be right”.   As if.  The precise timing of short term fiscal balance is not the issue that has worried the ratings agencies.  The long term deterioration driven by poor savings performance, weak exports and the mountain of real estate debt is.  Clutching at such irrelevant straws only highlights the absence of better ideas. 

Proof of the bankruptcy of National’s ideas is in this sobering fact:  only one quarter of OECD countries have been downgraded by Fitch in the last three years.  The last time this happened to NZ was in 1998.  It is nonsense to say we are riding the waves better than most.  To the contrary New Zealand is highly exposed, and saddled with a government that has no plan.

Labour has the policies and the political courage to make a difference and to do what is needed: capital gains tax, strong saving policy, monetary reform and strategic economic development.  It is vital that we implement them before it is too late.

Be in no doubt: what happened on Friday is a very serious development that will have repercussions for many years.  I will write further on what this means for the average Kiwi family.


Peter Dunne – Changes to Child Support

Posted by Stuart Nash on August 21st, 2011

Peter Dunne has finally announced proposed changes to the child support regime in order to make it fairer. He admits that “on something as contentious and as emotionally charged as child support… it is not about trying to please people. It is about creating a system that people feel is fundamentally fair, and crucially, that they feel is for the benefit of their children. If we get those two factors through to people, then we have succeeded, and I believe we are doing that here.”

Aside from the obvious contradiction there (‘not trying to please people… but about creating a system that people feel is fundamentally fair’: in my experience, people are pleased with a fair system, and not with one that isn’t), I don’t think anyone would disagree with the sentiment. As Revenue spokesman, I get many e-mails from people who believe they are being ‘ripped off’ by a discriminatory child support regime.

Three points I would make however:
1. Two and a half years ago Dunne said he would complete a review of the system in 6 months. What took him so long?
2. Dunne’s IRD is undertaking a round of redundancies (16 front line staff in Napier alone) and yet they are about to restructure the child support system… Does that mean ‘more with less’? Give me a break.!
3. Most importantly, Dunne has said that the changes to the system will be in legislation introduced to Parliament in the next few months. There are only four sitting weeks left this term. This is incredibly important legislation because over 200,000 NZ children rely on child support payments. I hope like hell this isn’t something that Dunne and the Nats are planning to introduce under urgency.

I am not saying there doesn’t need to be changes to the child support system, because there quite obviously does (of the approximately $2b in child support debt, under $200m is actually principle). But any legislation reforming the child support system needs to go through the proper parliamentary process; e.g. public select committee where all NZers can have their say.

The real shame of all this: if Dunne had done what he said he would do, then we would have had this whole system reformed months ago. Wonder why he hasn’t…


Carmel talks about the cost of living

Posted by Chris Hipkins on August 21st, 2011


My new hero

Posted by Darien Fenton on August 17th, 2011

I would never have imagined that my new hero would be a mega-rich American investor. But when Warren Buffett called for rich Americans like himself to pay higher taxes, I started to think that perhaps we are entering a new phase in humanity – where greed is not necessarily seen as good, where some of the wealthy are prepared to share and where the contributions of the not so well off are considered as important as those who have “made it”. Warren Buffet says :

“While the poor and middle class fight for us in Afghanistan, and while most Americans struggle to make ends meet, we mega-rich continue to get our extraordinary tax breaks. These and other blessings are showered upon us by legislators in Washington who feel compelled to protect us, much as if we were spotted owls or some other endangered species. It’s nice to have friends in high places……….

If you make money with money, as some of my super-rich friends do, your percentage may be a bit lower than mine. But if you earn money from a job, your percentage will surely exceed mine — most likely by a lot.”

It reminds me of Sam Morgan who said last year

“The amount of tax people pay in different areas is not fair. The people that pay the most tax are working people.”

Back in the US of A Manhatten Millionaire Lawrence Benenson has joined the call saying :

“How much money do you really need? Give it back to the government, pave some roads.”

Scores of New York’s millionaires have signed on to campaigns encouraging “tax equality,”such as the group Responsible Wealth, that includes Edith Everett, a retired Wall Street stockbroker who says :

“People who are just scrimping and saving to pay their rent, they shouldn’t pay one penny more.  Rich people make their money on the backs of the workers.”

This is refreshing.  May we hear more like it in New Zealand.

No problem with people doing well.  Big problem with not paying fair share.


Plans for the economy: an answer and a question

Posted by Grant Robertson on August 8th, 2011

A couple of things came up in discussions I had this weekend about Labour’s economic plan that I thought were worth a reminder.

First, among developed countries we stand with only Switzerland and Turkey in not having a capital gains tax. That’s it. Australia’s got one, so has Canada, Norway, Germany, you name it. A lot of people don’t realise that this is not some radical tax dreamed up on the left of politics in New Zealand, it is part of taxation regimes around the world, because it is fair and reasonable.

The other question is around exemptions. As far as I know (and David C will correct me if I am wrong) that Japan is the only developed country who include the family home in the CGT. Exemptions are part of the CGT picture around the world. Tax accountants look at every tax and try to find ways through them. But that is not a reason to avoid putting them in place. We believe that CGT, along with the other initiatives Clare highlighted earlier today are the basis of a plan to bring some fairness and long term sustainable growth into our economy.

One final thought. Labour was rightly asked for detailed policy on the economy. We have provided that. What is National’s policy? Serious question. Can we expect something different? Or Is it just a continuation of the drifting and short term thinking of the last three years? It would be good to know. As the ad says, now’s good.


Farmers driving the Nat’s economic policy?

Posted by Stuart Nash on August 2nd, 2011

Interesting to note in today’s estimates committee stage debate the 3 Nats who spoke were Bill English, Amy Adams and David Bennett. All spoke about the “twin evils” of debt and capital gains tax.

English, Adams and Bennett are all farmers (2 South Island drystock and 1 Waikato dairy), hence the irony of being lectured on debt and tax considering the farming sector has around $40b worth of debt, or a quarter of NZs total debt (most held by overseas-owned banks), and many in the farming community are masters at ‘optimising’ their own tax obligations.

Obviously all three would be subject to a capital gains tax when they sold their farms (I know Adams and Bennett have more than one farm, but unsure about English). So I was left wondering who these three cockies are representing – the NZers they claim to speak for, or their own back pockets..? Call me cynical, but I suspect its the latter.

Some things, it appears, never change: the National party is, once again, the party of the landed gentry working to feather their own nests and buggar the rest. Another irony is that the four Labour speakers (Cunliffe, Parker, Jones and yours truly) all come from a business background. Hmmm. The farmers lecturing the businessmen on debt, taxes and the economy. Go figure…

Filed under: Tax, economy

More support for #ownourfuture

Posted by Chris Hipkins on July 17th, 2011

Support continues to roll in for Labour’s plan to own our future and make sure everyone contributes their fair share to the society that they live in, and some of it comes from some pretty unlikely places.

It’s not often that I agree with Deborah Coddington, but I do today.

…muggins like me who stick our savings in the bank have to pay resident withholding tax and can’t escape it. That’s why, in principle, a capital gains tax, as sold to me this week by Labour’s revenue spokesman Stuart Nash, is hard to argue against. If you earn a buck, you pay tax on it. Taxation should be fair…

While Coddington doesn’t agree with a progressive taxation system (ie. the more you earn, the more you contribute), she does take aim at those who have become excessively rich at the expense of others:

The more I see the fiercely wealthy, the more I dislike them. Are they born unpleasant or do riches change them because they’re accustomed to sycophants hanging on every whim? … they’re terrified of losing their money, and becoming grasping and predatory. They fear everyone is out to take it away so they must increase their pile … Rich isn’t a dirty word, but these guys’ refusal to accept they’ve done wrong gives everyone in business a bad name.

I admire people who have worked hard and made a good life for themselves and their families. But I’ve got no respect for those who make huge piles of cash by ripping innocent people off, then stash it away in family trusts and try to pretend they can’t even afford lawyers to defend themselves. They’re rip-off artists, plain and simple. Ambition and hard-work should be rewarded, greed should not.


What others are saying

Posted by Chris Hipkins on July 16th, 2011

It’s been a good week for Labour. We’ve put forward a bold policy agenda that will protect our valuable state assets whilst also setting us on the path towards a brighter future. It’s ambitious and highlights the contrast between Labour’s visionary approach and National’s total lack of a plan.

John Armstrong’s column in the NZ Herald notes that Labour’s policy is driven by a desire to do the right thing and get the economy moving again, unlike National’s approach of trying not to scare the horses by doing nothing:

National concedes that Labour’s promotion of the tax was always going to get the tick of approval from some economists, think tanks and academics. National did not count on that endorsement being so strong. The endorsement has come from across the political spectrum, thereby making Goff’s push for the tax look less political and motivated more by what might be in the national interest.

Over on Stuff, Andrea Vance argues that Labour has taken the lead:

…Labour has seized the moment. There comes a tide in the affairs of politics and this time Goff, Cunliffe et al have caught it…pitched against an asset selloff, a CGT looks to many like the lesser of two evils…

On TV3’s The Nation Colin James says that Key and National have “miscued”:

They’ve attacked things that aren’t in it, and attacked things that are in it that they said aren’t in it, and John Key talked about it being a ‘dagger through the heart of the economy’ and I thought Russell Norman in Parliament was able to skewer him on that, he quoted the OECD, he quoted the Treasury, he quoted Australia, and I think National just miscued, it didn’t handle it nearly as well…

Earlier in the week, Rob Salmond posted an interesting piece on Pundit correcting some of Key’s mythical claims:

If John Key is determined to measure a person’s welcome in New Zealand only through tax rates, then the conclusion is clear. High income earners are more “welcome” here than in any of the country Mr Key aspires us to be like… The CGT discussion so far has been a bit surreal. Labour starts a debate about tax policy, traditionally a strong area for National and ACT. In response, National becomes a fact-free zone and ACT retreats into an internecine war over the appropriate degree of their race-baiting.

Blogger Idiot/Savant at No Right Turn, often critical of Labour for not being bold enough, nails it:

The numbers stack up. This is not a spendthrift plan to just keep on borrowing. Instead, its a cautious, sensible, fiscally conservative plan to balance the government’s books by closing a serious tax loophole. And we don’t have to sell anything to do it. Labour is now presenting a clear alternative to the government’s policies: either we can sell the family silver and see the profits go offshore, while trying to cut our way out of recession – or we can pay off our debts and support our government services by making the wealthy pay their fair share. Put like that, its really a no-brainer.

Meanwhile Fran O’Sullivan questions whether John Key has the gravitas to deal with the challenges we face:

All New Zealanders know Key has fulfilled his childhood dream by becoming Prime Minister of our small nation. But does he really have serious aspirations for his prime ministership? Or even New Zealand?

One gets the feeling that Key and his Ministers quite like their ministerial BMWs and have forgotten why they’re allowed to ride around in them. We certainly don’t hear them talking about being “ambitious for New Zealand” very much these days.


Capital Gains Tax is Progressive

Posted by Raymond Huo on July 15th, 2011

I was glad to have the opportunity to run through the Capital Gains Tax (CGT) policy released by Labour yesterday on Radio Chinese Voice immediately after Question Time.

To give a simple example to the Chinese audience, I said that every dollar from salary or wages you earn you pay tax. But if you have an investment which earns a much greater profit, you are not required to pay tax.

When talking about CGT, it is also important to note that aside from New Zealand, Switzerland and Turkey are the only two other developed countries which don’t have a Capital Gains Tax.

What is more telling is an example given by Labour Finance Spokesperson David Cunliffe yesterday. New Zealand is in a financial hole with a record Government deficit of 16.7 billion dollars and 142 billion dollars of overseas debt but National’s only solution is to sell off our treasured state assets.

Since coming into office, National has looked after their privileged few mates pretty well, but what about the ordinary many and New Zealand’s future?

I would like to quote an email I received from a Chinese constituent (name withheld)

“What about the financial recession? It stemmed largely from speculation; in no way has it helped to grow the economy but created crisis.

Those creators pocketed hefty cash, smiled and went. Good on you Labour, a Capital Gains Tax should have been brought in long ago.”

For financial savvy Chinese, it is not hard to understand that to build a modern, equitable society a progressive tax system will work but National’s regressive tax system will not.

Labour’s policy is for all New Zealanders and our future.

http://blog.labour.org.nz/index.php/2011/07/13/families-struggle-as-food-prices-go-up/


Tax policy that is clear and transparent #ownourfuture

Posted by Trevor Mallard on July 8th, 2011

During the 1980s politicians got a very bad name by doing things after elections that they had hidden from the public. Supersurcharge, GST, asset sales.

Continued in the 1990s. Surcharge extended, despite no ifs, no maybes promise to repeal, student fees extended despite promise to drop, more assets sold despite undertaking not to.

The naughties were pretty good. Clark was strong on under promising and over delivering. Remember the Cullen surpluses.

But seems like government at it again. GST.

Next week you will see Labour with a transparent, open policy on tax which is easy to understand. It will help us save our assets from sale, and pay down the debt better than the current arrangements.

And what I feel great about not only that the policy is good but that it is transparent and well before the election.

I think it is part of continuing to restore the integrity of politics in New Zealand.


The Standard on tax policy

Posted by Trevor Mallard on July 7th, 2011

I’m in a weird position. I know what is in next week’s package. But I can’t confirm or deny either the big planks or the details.

But watching the debate is fascinating. R0b at the Standard has done summary of media views and has some opinions of his own.

Very tempted to use a classic Yes Minister quote but will resist and do an unusual thing and quote the whole post :-

Notice how a single announcement (not even officially made) from the opposition Labour Party has generated more interest, excitement and reaction than the last (Sub-Zero) budget? More excitement, in fact, than anything the National government has done in the last three wasted years?

The Herald editorial heaps praise on Goff for a policy that is says is courageous and “not only would a capital gains tax be hugely beneficial to the economy but the time for its introduction is right.”

Press gallery leader Guyon Espiner says “most New Zealanders do not have an investment property and if Labour can argue this properly they should be able to carry this argument”.

Fellow press gallery heavyweight John Armstrong reckons that “Goff goes for broke with huge gamble”. Got that right. But – what – you thought Labour was just going to sleepwalk to defeat? Hell no.

Poor John Key reckons that a capital gains tax will send NZ “screaming backwards”. He’s quite the expert on that I guess. In the same piece Key predicts that the CGT will raise only “$700 million a year, after 15 years”. Unfortunately for the PM the recent Tax Working Group report put the figure at more than $4 billion a year (the 2009 report from the Victoria University of Wellington Tax Working Group agrees). Perhaps Nice Mr Key should check his sums. Or even wait a week and see precisely what form Labour’s policy will take.

Danyl at DimPost nails it with characteristic economy – “National wants to finance the rebuilding of Christchurch via asset sales; Labour via a tax on property speculation”.

Everybody’s favourite Tory mouthpiece DPF was strangely muted in his criticism at Kiwiblog. Perhaps that’s because he recalls saying, just last year that “… I think the time is right to now take a serious look at capital gains tax”.

For a take out of left field, Rob Carr at Political Dumpground argues that even if the CGT causes a property market implosion, that might be a Good Thing.

John Hartevelt at Stuff reckons that that this is “Labour’s big policy play”. Key’s good buddy Duncan Garner reckons the CGT is a “bold and courageous move”. And so on, and so on.

Labour have started setting out a bold, fair and plausible policy framework for the election. No asset sales. A tax system for the many not the few. $15 minimum wage. Children at the centre of social policy. R&D tax credits. Keep ACC and Pharmac. GST off fresh food. Strengthen KiwiSaver and the Cullen fund. All good stuff!

And the Nats? A budget almost universally panned as lacking in vision, they are simply recycling meaningless promises from one budget to the next. And news yesterday that the government’s “new” $17 billion infrastructure plan in fact contains no new plans at all, just re-announcements of old ones (which were mostly Labour’s anyway).

In short, Labour has a plan, National has a record of three wasted years. Labour have taken hold of the political agenda. Now they have to keep it for the next 5 months.


pay back debt, don’t sell the SoEs, grow the economy, switch tax

Posted by Trevor Mallard on July 6th, 2011

Key’s reaction to the confirmation the Labour will announce a tax package next week has been almost incredible.

Pulls possible policies from the air. Makes up figures. Puts lines out for testing. Looks awful.

Captain panic pants clearly running the show.

There will be a choice between Labour’s bold plan to pay back debt, grow the economy and ease the burden on middle and low income earners and National’s scheme to sell our assets.


Treasury v IRD – $4b diff in forecast revenues

Posted by Stuart Nash on May 19th, 2011

On page 81 of the budget docs it states “…the total difference between [the IRD and Treasury's] tax forecasts across the five June years 2011 to 2015 is nearly $4b…”  “The lower forecasts of tax revenue from Inland Revenue indicate there may be some downside risk to our tax forecasts”

May be some downside risk???  Understatement of the year.!  IRD are the government’s tax collectors.  Would be wise to go with their advice I would have thought.  Govt gone with Treasury. 

Much wishful thinking and crossing of fingers I suspect…

Filed under: Budget, Tax