iPredict is often biased by inside information -so this is interesting :-
Act Leader and Epsom MP John Banks, and his colleague National MP Maurice Williamson, are both expected to be stood down as ministers by 15 May, with Mr Banks picked to be sacked or resign altogether before Budget Day on 24 May, according to the 6800 registered traders on www.iPredict.co.nz.
The New Zealand online predictions market is already offering 20 stocks on issues related to the growing scandal involving political donations from Megaupload founder Kim Dotcom, who is facing extradition to the United States on racketeering, money laundering and copyright charges. Other stocks will be added as events unfold.
According to prices at 1pm today, there is a 62% probability Mr Banks will stand down as a minister before Tuesday 15 May and a 56% probability for Mr Williamson.