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Taking a closer look at National’s economic record

Posted by David Clark on May 22nd, 2012

We’re just a couple of days away from Bill English’s fourth budget. Year after year they’ve set low expectations, and failed to meet them. It looks like this budget is going to be more of the same, with John Key already trying to move the goal-posts.

This morning David Parker gave a speech where he clearly set out how a Labour government would be different.

  • We will create jobs by supporting our exporters to expand and earn more.
  • We will help Kiwis to get the education and skills they need to seize the job opportunities of a 21st century economy.
  • We will grow incomes by investing in science and innovation to create more high-wage businesses.
  • We will make it easier for Kiwis to save for their first home and to build a retirement nest egg.

David’s speech points out that we need to significantly change how the New Zealand economy works in order to grow jobs and higher wages. It’s filled with detail (and even graphs!) – I highly recommend you take a read.

We’ve also put together this video to take a look at how National haven’t simply failed to deliver, they’ve also failed to meet their own low standards. I hope you enjoy it. Please share it around.

Filed under: economy, finance

By the numbers

Posted by David Clark on May 18th, 2012

4 – years in a row New Zealanders have been promised an ‘aggressive recovery’

4 –  years of John Key’s ghost growth (you know I can’t live on your ghost growth John)

4 – years of growing inequality

4 - years without economic leadership

4 – Goodness sake, give us a government with guts


By The Numbers

Posted by David Clark on May 10th, 2012

5,000 - postgraduate, masters and PhD students who will  lose their student allowances under changes the Government is making in this month’s Budget, according to Steven Joyce

310,000 - signatures needed to force a citizens initiated referendum on asset sales

941 - submissions to Labour’s ‘Show Us Your Cards, John’ campaign against the dodgy Sky City deal

50 – year low in annual average economic growth for any NZ government

2.5 - years on the clock before Key bows out

1 - million dollars on the sideshow that was Paula Bennett’s announcement of contraception for beneficiaries when the real story was the treasury figures which highlighted National’s economic failure


100% tax cuts ahead

Posted by David Clark on May 7th, 2012

Today’s crash of Inland Revenue’s website highlights a wider IT vulnerability that must be addressed – urgently.

The IRDs current tax collection system was designed in the early nineties. It was effective for many years.  But it has become increasingly obvious that patches applied over recent years are a failing stopgap.  New Zealand needs real progress on a replacement system.

The Government has already written off millions of dollars after a failed attempt to rebuild the student loans component of the IRD online collection system.  Since then no progress, only bad news.  Earlier this year, it was revealed that the Government estimates a necessary IT rebuild of IRD’s whole tax collection structure will cost up to $1.5 billion dollars.

New Zealand is not unique in having a tax system.  Adapting successful systems used elsewhere is the logical approach to replacing our ailing IT infrastructure.  This problem has been on the horizon for some time.  It beggars belief that the Government has not yet outlined a convincing plan or timeline for the development of overdue IT solutions. 

Voluntary compliance with a transparent tax system is critical to the efficient and effective functioning of our society. 

Businesses rely upon our tax collection system working properly when they put their GST returns in.  They don’t have time to waste reentering data when systems go down.  We cannot afford to risk the patience of those citizens who wish to comply with their civic duty.

And testing the patience of businesses is not all that is at stake here. Our hospitals and schools rely upon a trustworthy tax-collection system.  The IRD must not be allowed to fail.

The Minister of Revenue has not put forward a credible timeline for the project, and it is becoming clear that the government is sitting on its hands whilst New Zealanders face the consequences of an IT time bomb.

Not good enough Minister.

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Filed under: Tax

By The Numbers – An appetising, nutritious, numeric snack that boils down the week’s news

Posted by David Clark on May 3rd, 2012
9000 more people unemployed in the past 3 months.
7 Months for John Banks to say thanks for $500,000 worth of fireworks.
20 per cent Government hike to student loan repayment rates.
12.5 million dollars spent by National to ‘restructure’ MFAT.
500 people waiting for state and social housing in Christchurch.
1 The number of ACT MPs up cabbage creek without a broccoli.

9000 – more people unemployed in the past 3 months.

7 – Months for John Banks to say thanks for $500,000 worth of fireworks.

20 – Per cent Government hike to student loan repayment rates.

12.5 – Million dollars spent by National to ‘restructure’ MFAT.

500 – people waiting for state and social housing in Christchurch.

1 - The number of ACT MPs up cabbage creek without a broccoli.


Treasury asleep at the wheel?

Posted by David Clark on April 11th, 2012

The Auditor General (AG) recently raised serious concerns about the Treasury’s handling of the Crown Retail Deposit Guarantee Scheme. 

Questions raised by the AG’s critique need urgent and focused attention.

First the history.  The scheme was put in place in a matter of hours – designed and announced the same day.  At the peak of the Global Financial Crisis it ensured there wasn’t a run on financial institutions.  The Auditor General found that it achieved its initial goals and that the economy was stabilised.

But, appearing before the select committee, the AG revealed under questioning the extent of Treasury’s failure to effectively monitor the scheme in the early months.  Risk to the taxpayer waxed unobserved by the official watchdog.  The risk profile of South Canterbury Finance’s loan book, for example, grew rapidly in the early months of 2009.  Within 4 months of the scheme’s introduction, South Canterbury’s deposit base had increased by 25%.   Treasury failed to proactively monitor the growth in risk to the taxpayer.  It did not request regular reports it was entitled to request from the Reserve Bank. 

In her recent appearance before the Finance and Expenditure Select Committee (FEC), the Auditor General said she also found no evidence to suggest the Treasury had asked itself whether further intervention was necessary to protect taxpayer interests.

The scheme ultimately looks set to cost the taxpayer in excess of $1 Billion.  Some of this may have been necessary to ensure New Zealand survived the financial crisis.  However, without further investigation it is not clear just how much of the $1 Billion was avoidable cost to the taxpayer.

Under questioning by David Parker, FEC Committee Chair Todd McClay made it clear he wasn’t about to take a lead on holding Treasury to account.

Treasury failed to effectively monitor the growth in risk to the taxpayer.  In fact, it didn’t make any provision for payouts under the scheme until June 2009.  When asked whether Treasury’s practices had changed sufficient to be sure that they could ask themselves the right questions today, the Auditor General was not able to offer necessary reassurance.

The parliamentary Finance and Expenditure Committee has the job of asking Treasury the tough questions.  When hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars are at stake, thorough investigation is demanded.  The people of New Zealand need to be assured Treasury has learned from any mistakes.  To that end, Labour members will be drafting terms of reference for an inquiry into Treasury’s handling of the Crown Retail Deposits Guarantee scheme.

In my experience, people at Treasury have broad shoulders and will welcome rigorous inquiry.


Deck chairs

Posted by David Clark on March 19th, 2012

The Inland Revenue Department’s tax policy work programme was released by Hon Peter Dunne on the weekend. 

Reading through the Minister’s related speech, I couldn’t help wondering about the symbolism of its delivery just one month short of the Titanic’s 100th anniversary.

According to its own publicity, the IRD tax policy work programme places emphasis on achieving efficiency and fairness in the system.  Worthy objectives indeed.  And much of the work in the programme is worthy – plugging holes, and trimming sails to align with competitors - where it is to our advantage so to do. 

But significant change appears to have been ruled out once more. A Capital Gains Tax that would push investment towards the productive sector, for example, will not be considered.  The current tax system watches on as the Government shuffles deck chairs and sails towards a $12 Billion deficit.  This is crazy.  If you don’t change anything, nothing will change.

Our current tax system is in need of a serious overhaul.  The tax policy work programme looks a bit like an exercise regime for a thoroughbred nearing a big race – light and steady.  This would be fine if we owned a thoroughbred.  We don’t.  The Minister is refusing to admit his existentially-challenged Clydesdale needs anything more than a good make-over and a stiff crack of his whip.

The fiscal hole is getting bigger and the Government has no credible plan to address it. In my earlier post, I asked how the Minister of Finance could continue to credibly claim tax changes implemented under his watch were ‘broadly revenue neutral’ – when the Government’s own officials say otherwise.  IRD officials have said that 2.5 percentage points of a 4% drop in revenue were due to Government policy changes. 

We need jobs and a plan to address the structural issues that underlie our current account deficit. Tinkering with finer points in the tax system and changing who owns what through asset sales doesn’t begin to address the serious issues facing our economy.  New Zealand debt is set to continue climbing under National.

On the matter of economic policy and tax settings: no amount of deck-chair shuffling will change things - if the ship remains set on the same course.


Dear Liza

Posted by David Clark on March 17th, 2012

The Government has continued to spout the line that its tax ’switch’ in 2010 was ‘broadly revenue neutral’.

This is an outrageous claim.  It was nowhere near revenue neutral.

According to the IRD’s 2011 Briefing to the Incoming Minister (BIM), Government tax-take dropped from 35.1% of GDP to 31% of GDP during National’s first term.  In a time of high borrowing, and a projected $12 Billion deficit, a drop in the tax base of more than 10% is plain irresponsible. Falling revenue means we don’t have the funds to support our schools and hospitals.  Either that, or we have to borrow to fund them.  This ain’t good.

The ‘broadly revenue neutral’ claim has been relegated to the status of a bad joke by the honesty of the Government’s own tax officials.  In their 2011 BIM, officials made clear that only about 1.5% could be blamed on the Global Financial Crisis.  About 2.5 percentage points of its 4% revenue drop can be directly explained by Government policy changes (ie the 2010 tax package).

To use the phrase ‘broadly revenue neutral’ in this context beggars belief.  It is an abuse of the English language.

How ‘broad’ can ‘broad’ get before it the Finance Minister will admit it is simply *not* revenue neutral?

Blaming the hole in the accounts on the Canterbury earthquakes or the Global Financial Crisis is no longer a credible excuse for the $12 billion deficit.

Though not widely reported, this drop in tax-take is big stuff.  It is likely to have wider consequences.  Sadly, it fits with the picture of a government bereft of a credible plan for managing our economy.


‘Twas the night before Christmas

Posted by David Clark on February 24th, 2012

Slane Grinch cartoon

Public support continues to grow for getting ANZAC and Waitangi Public Holidays Monday-ised when they fall on a weekend.  New Zealanders work some of the longest hours in the OECD. Naturally, it is disappointing when some years we miss out on one or two of the eleven Public Holidays we look forward to every other year.  This week’s Listener editorial makes the same point.  Cartoon courtesy of @slanecartoons.

I reckon attendance at ANZAC dawn services will go up when people know they can sleep an extra hour or two on the Monday that follows.  Waitangi festivals around the country are growing in popularity as family events. This Bill recognises the growing importance of 6 February and 25 April to our sense of history and national identity.

I think National will show just how out of touch they have become if they don’t get in behind my Bill.  A recent Stuff poll had public support at around 80%.  Hard working Kiwis deserve every one of the eleven Public Holidays they currently get.


Thank you

Posted by David Clark on February 19th, 2012

It has been a whirlwind couple of weeks.  Having my Monday-ising Bill drawn on the first regular day of Parliament was a rush.  It is a great opportunity to champion a cause that will fix an anomaly in our law and give hard-working kiwi families the holidays they deserve.

Labour MPs have been supportive of the Bill from the start. NZ First, the Greens and United Future have come out in favour of it now too. And of course most members of the public agree it makes sense.  The Tourism Industry Association has pointed out that it will give a boost to ailing domestic tourism figures.

The Dominion Post explained succinctly why it makes sense.  The Bill addresses an issue that only arises in those years when Waitangi and ANZAC fall on a weekend.  The days of celebration will still be 6 February and 25 April respectively but there will also be a Public Holiday on the Monday that follows.  We do this already for Christmas and other Public Holidays.  Using the Christmas example: it doesn’t make the Christmas celebration itself any different – but you know you can plan for a long weekend and some time off with the family.

In the first couple of weeks, I’ve also had my first media stand-up, my maiden speech, a funeral, a wedding, another Parliamentary speech, several radio interviews and my first appearance on TV show Back Benches.  Because the causes I’ve been fronting have been constructive, and media coverage has been positive, it has been a great experience.

But I’ve not been able to respond to every message of support.  I know other new MPs have had a similar experience. So I want to take this opportunity to say thank you to all those who’ve helped get me here, and those who’ve offered assistance or support. I appreciate it.


Hola! Hola! Holiday.

Posted by David Clark on February 7th, 2012

Today is my first regular day as a sitting MP.  Somewhat improbably, a member’s bill in my name has been drawn from the ballot.

I’m pleased to be able to champion the Bill.  It aims to ensure hard working kiwis get the holidays they deserve. My thanks to Grant Robertson who developed the bill originally.

The Bill seeks to ‘Monday-ise’ Waitangi Day and ANZAC day when they fall on a weekend.

The good news is that families may be entitled to a day off for each and every Public Holiday – before the year is out.

It corrects for an anomaly that happens roughly twice every seven years.  When this glitch happens, New Zealanders miss out on the usual full complement of 11 public holidays.

All 11 public holidays are listed in the Public Holidays Act, but only two are missed out when it comes to ensuring a corresponding day off with the family.

The bill makes sense and the idea is not new. Aussies do this already.  When ANZAC day falls on a weekend, the celebration is held on 25 April just as it is every other year, and a public holiday is observed two days later.

It was great to see families out enjoying the various local Waitangi celebrations as part of a long weekend.  Won’t it be great when they can do this every year.